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TRI-STATE (Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky) - We are under the typical weather notifications that occur in the Springtime in the Midwest...but given how much flooding we've had in the past six weeks, and how super-saturated the ground is currently, there are several aspects of the potentially-serious weather we're facing later today that you need to take note of.
Here's the Hazardous Weather Outlook for our south and some of the central counties:
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Paducah KY
416 AM CDT Tue Apr 3 2018
ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-040930-
Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton-
White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Pope-
Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh-
Warrick-Spencer-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves-
Livingston-Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell-
Union KY-Webster-Hopkins-Christian-Henderson-Daviess-McLean-
Muhlenberg-Todd-Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter-
Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid-
416 AM CDT Tue Apr 3 2018
...Enhanced risk of severe thunderstorms this afternoon and
evening...
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southern
Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast
Missouri.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight
The potential exists for an outbreak of severe thunderstorms and
isolated tornadoes, mainly during the afternoon and evening
hours. A line of thunderstorms is expected to form along a strong
cold front as it crosses southeast Missouri and southern Illinois
this afternoon. This line of storms will then sweep east across
western Kentucky and southwest Indiana late this afternoon and
this evening.
The primary hazard with these storms is expected to be damaging
winds. However, isolated tornadoes are possible as well. Although
not currently expected, any isolated storms that form ahead of the
line would contain a high potential for tornado formation.
In addition, large hail is likely in a few of the strongest
storms.
Outside of thunderstorms, south winds will be strong and gusty
today. A Wind Advisory is in effect for today for sustained winds
up to 25 mph with gusts from 40 to 45 mph.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday
Widespread frost is likely on Wednesday night, with low
temperatures right around freezing.
A light wintry mix of precipitation is possible on Friday night,
with little or no accumulation. Freezing temperatures are likely
Friday night, generally in the upper 20s to around 30. Lows on
Saturday night will be near freezing in many areas.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Skywarn spotter activation will likely be needed this afternoon
into this evening.
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There's a flood warning, too, for riverside counties:
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Paducah Kentucky
926 AM CDT Tue Apr 3 2018
...Forecast Flooding Changed from Minor to Moderate Severity for the
Wabash River affecting areas in southeast Illinois and southwest
Indiana...
At New Harmony affecting Gallatin...Wabash...White...Gibson and
Posey Counties.
.Water levels continue to rise along portions of lower Wabash River
at New Harmony, IN. Moderate flood conditions will develop early
this weekend, with a crest expected the middle of next week.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...
Never drive cars...trucks or sport utility vehicles through flooded
areas. The water may be too deep to allow safe passage. Never allow
children to play in or near flood waters. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather
Radio or your local media for further statements and possible updated
forecasts.
Additional information is available at
http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=pah /lower case/
&&
ILC059-185-193-INC051-129-041825-
/O.COR.KPAH.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/NHRI3.2.ER.180329T1618Z.180411T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
926 AM CDT Tue Apr 3 2018
...forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity...
The Flood Warning continues for the Wabash River at New Harmony.
* At 9 AM Tuesday the stage was 18.2 feet.
* Flood Stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Moderate flood conditions will develop Saturday morning,
and crest near 21.1 feet Wednesday April 11.
* Impact...At 21.0 Feet...The river is 3 miles wide at I-64.
And a floor warning specifically for Gallatin, Wayne and White counties:
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Paducah Kentucky
845 AM CDT Tue Apr 3 2018
...The flood warning continues for the Little Wabash River affecting
areas in southeast Illinois...
At Carmi affecting Gallatin...Wayne and White Counties.
.Moderate flooding continues along the Little Wabash River at Carmi
Illinois. A crest is expected tomorrow evening, and will remain at
or near that level into the weekend.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...
Never drive cars...trucks or sport utility vehicles through flooded
areas. The water may be too deep to allow safe passage. Never allow
children to play in or near flood waters. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather
Radio or your local media for further statements and possible updated
forecasts.
Additional information is available at
http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=pah /lower case/
ILC059-191-193-041745-
/O.CON.KPAH.FL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CARI2.2.ER.180329T1252Z.180404T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
845 AM CDT Tue Apr 3 2018
The Flood Warning continues for the Little Wabash River at Carmi
* until further notice.
* At 8 AM Tuesday the stage was 33.4 feet.
* Flood Stage is 27.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will crest near 34.4 feet tomorrow evening
and remain at or near this level into Saturday.
* Impact...At 35.5 Feet...Businesses just downstream of IL Route 14
and Route 1 in Carmi flood.
And even a wind advisory:
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Paducah KY
436 AM CDT Tue Apr 3 2018
...Strong and gusty southwest winds today...
.Winds will increase from the southwest ahead of a strong cold
front.
ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-032100-
/O.CON.KPAH.WI.Y.0004.180403T1200Z-180404T0000Z/
Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton-
White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Pope-
Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh-
Warrick-Spencer-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves-
Livingston-Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell-
Union KY-Webster-Hopkins-Christian-Henderson-Daviess-McLean-
Muhlenberg-Todd-Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter-
Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid-
Including the cities of Mount Vernon, Fairfield, Albion,
Mount Carmel, Pinckneyville, West Frankfort, McLeansboro, Carmi,
Carbondale, Murphysboro, Herrin, Harrisburg, Shawneetown,
Jonesboro, Vienna, Golconda, Elizabethtown, Cairo, Mound City,
Metropolis, Fort Branch, Petersburg, Poseyville, Evansville,
Boonville, Rockport, Hickman, Clinton, Bardwell, Wickliffe,
Paducah, Mayfield, Smithland, Benton, Murray, Marion, Eddyville,
Cadiz, Princeton, Morganfield, Dixon, Madisonville, Hopkinsville,
Henderson, Owensboro, Calhoun, Greenville, Elkton, Perryville,
Marble Hill, Cape Girardeau, Jackson, Piedmont, Van Buren,
Doniphan, Poplar Bluff, Bloomfield, Sikeston, Charleston,
and New Madrid
436 AM CDT Tue Apr 3 2018
...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING...
* TIMING...Southwest winds will increase this morning. The
strongest winds are expected from about noon until about
sunset.
* WINDS...South winds will become southwest from 20 to 30 mph with
higher gusts. Peak wind gusts from 35 to 45 mph are expected.
* IMPACTS...Loose objects or debris will be blown onto roadways.
Vehicles may become more difficult to handle, especially high
profile vehicles such as trucks and busses.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A wind advisory is issued when sustained winds are expected to
reach 30 mph or greater for longer than one hour...or wind gusts
are expected to reach 40 mph for any duration.
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Here's what it's looking like for north counties:
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
534 AM CDT Tue Apr 3 2018
ILZ062-063-066>068-071>073-041100-
Clark-Clay-Crawford-Cumberland-Effingham-Jasper-Lawrence-Richland-
534 AM CDT Tue Apr 3 2018
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of east central
Illinois and southeast Illinois.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...
Thunderstorm are expected today. A few of the storms this
afternoon may be severe, especially east of I-57. Damaging wind
gusts are the primary threat, but large hail and an isolated
tornado are also possible.
Flooding will continue for the next several days along portions
of the Wabash, Little Wabash and Embarras rivers.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...
No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation may be needed later today, mainly between 2 PM
and 6 PM.
North county flooding info:
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
845 AM CDT Tue Apr 3 2018
...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Illinois...
Little Wabash River below Clay City affecting Clay and Richland
Counties
The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an alternate
route. Turn around, don`t drown.
Additional river and weather information is available at
www.weather.gov/ilx.
ILC025-159-040344-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLAI2.2.ER.180325T1055Z.180331T0245Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
845 AM CDT Tue Apr 3 2018
The Flood Warning continues for
The Little Wabash River below Clay City.
* Until further notice.
* At 745 AM Tuesday the stage was 20.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 21.6 feet by
Friday morning then begin falling.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet...North Clay Road...1 mile east of the gage is
flooded.
Fld Observed Forecast 6AM
Location Stg Stg Day Time Wed Thu Fri
Little Wabash River
Clay City 18 20.9 Tue 8 AM 21.0 21.3 21.6
Please use caution, readers...we value each and every one of you!